* US markets rose overnight, led by financials after successful EU bond auctions and reports that US banks are set to increase their dividends.
* European markets rallied to a 52-week high, with the financial sector rallying across the continent.
* Asian stock markets edged higher yesterday, but they look set for a positive session today.
* Commodities prices climbed again for a third day
* ASX set to trade higher today
The SPI Futures is above its key weekly pivot level of 4700, and closed up 0.6% (or 26 pts) at 4,740. The key levels for our index today are 4740 and 4680. M&A activity continues to drive specific stocks.
The ASX is set trade higher, as we had strong positive leads from overseas markets. Expect a broad recovery today, tempered by those stocks exposed to the Queensland floods.
In economics news today there is December Unemployment report (previously at 5.2%, forecast to be 5.1%).
US Markets
US markets rose overnight, led by financials after successful EU bond auctions and reports that US banks are set to increase their dividends later this year. Commodities prices climbed again for a third day. Investors jumped into US stocks as credit risk subsided on reports that EU officials are stepping up efforts to solve the debt crisis, after a Portuguese government debt auction eased immediate worries about the euro zone.
In economic news US December import prices rose 1.1%, generating their biggest 3-month gain in over a year on the back of surging energy prices. This news will add to fears of how inflation will impact the market as the year unfolds. Reports of producer (PPI) and consumer price index (CPI) numbers are due out this week and should provide further confirmation.
US listed European banks rose sharply with shares of Spanish banking giant Banco Santander surging 11% and those of rival Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria gaining 11%.
Gains were spread across the market, with noteable sector performances including rises in Financials up 1.5%, Energy up 1.0%, Materials up 0.7%, Consumer Discretionary up 0.7% and Healthcare sector up 0.4%.
The Dow closed up 0.7% (or 84 points) at 11,755, while in the broader market the S&P 500 index was up 0.9% (or 11 points) at 1,286 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended up 0.8% (or 21 points) at 2,737.
European Markets
European markets rallied to a 52-week high overnight, with the financial sector rallying across the continent. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 1.4% to hit its highest level since September 2008. Stocks in Spain and Greece surged 5%, leading a broad-based European market rally, as the successful Portuguese bond auction eased near-term fears about contagion of the euro-zone debt crisis.
The euro jumped 1.2% against the US dollar, after the Portuguese government sold EUR1.25 billion in bonds in an auction at yields that were below market expectations. The successful auction provides some light after days of mounting concern over Portugal’s finances, with investors concerned that economic growth could be impacted if the government was forced to enact tougher austerity measures. Investor sentiment was bouyed by the aggressive buying of Portuguese debt by the European Central Bank, along with Japanese and Chinese commitments to making purchases of European debt. However the euphoria over the successful bond auction needs to be tempered by the fact that the underlying problems for debt-laiden euro-zone nations still remain.
In Germany, Europe’s largest economy reported 2010 growth expanded by 3.6%, after a contraction of 4.7% in 2009, supporting hopes that Germany can provide enough momentum to keep the EU afloat while the region addresses its debt crisis. In London the FTSE reached a 31-month high.
Overnight the FTSE 100 index closed up 0.6% (or 37 points) at 6,051, the German DAX up 1.8% (or 127 points) at 7,069, while in France the CAC was up 2.2% (or 84 points) at 3,966.
Asian Markets
Asian stock markets edged higher yesterday, but they look set for a positive session today following the successful Portugal bond auction. The Japanese Nikkei index closed flat, despite early gains from exporters resulting from the yen’s recent weakness against the euro. In Hong Kong the Hang Seng had its highest close in 2 months and has rallied 4.7% so far this year. Chinese stocks were boosted by gains on Wall Street, by Japan announcing it will join the ECB, and by China buying bonds from a eurozone rescue fund to help the PIIGS economies. The Chinese market gains came from the property, developer and resource sectors.
In China the SSE Composite closed up 0.6% (or 17 points) at 2,821, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was up 1.5% (or 365 points) at 24,126 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index was flat at 10,513.
Commodities
Gold remained below $US1,400 an ounce, while crude oil rose and copper recovered. The Dollar Index was down marginally -1.0% at 80.02 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 99.58. Commodities were generally higher.
Benchmark crude NYMEX for December delivery was up 0.8% (or $US0.70) to settle at $US91.81. Copper prices continue backing off 2-year highs; copper for December delivery was up 1.5% (or 6.3 cents) at $US4.4000. Gold prices were off all-time highs again, with December gold up marginally 0.1% at $US1,385.30.
Market Summary
ASX – to open positively
US & UK/Europe – Strongly Higher
US ADRs – Broadly Higher
Commodities Stock Index up 1.0%
Gold Stocks Index down 0.1%
Oil Stocks Index up 1.0%
By Michael Hevern
Head of Research